Thursday, August 4, 2016

You might as well have an event called, the tallest

I like sport, but i enjoy music and writing because you can bend the rules, like Herman Hesse's 'glass bead game', and Charlie Parker's Be-Bop.
As Doug Stanhope sez about the Olympics: 
"you might as well have an event called, the tallest"

Olympic Sensing - In case swimmers can't count to 32

Over the years, technology has improved the accuracy of results at the Olympic Games. In the Rio Olympics, underwater digital lap counters from Omega will be used in the 800-meter and 1500-meter freestyle swimming events. They automatically update the lap count when a swimmer hits the touchpad on the wall.--https://www.rcrwireless.com/20160803/americas/rio-olympics-sensors-big-data-tag5


Almost 20% of the 7.4 billion real ($2.25 billion) total budget the Rio Olympics Organizing Committee announced for the games this year was earmarked to implement information technology and telecommunication solutions. Almost 250 companies, including Atos, Cisco, América Móvil, EMC, Omega, Panasonic, Samsung and Symantec, have provided different levels of technology to build the entire infrastructure, the committee’s CIO Elly Resende told RCR Wireless News. He added that the committee worked closely with the Brazilian telecom regular Anatel to manage and control frequency band spectrum used for the games. 

How about some new sporting facilities for all, and then save your Multi Billion Dollar technology for warfare against the vulnerable and innocent.



In a nutshell - the swimming pool problem

“The trouble with any swimming pool is that it never makes as much money as it costs, they are very expensive things to run.”-Town Councillor Mark Morris.

Read more at:
http://www.shropshirestar.com/news/politics/2016/08/02/campaigners-vow-to-fight-to-keep-church-strettons-pool/

Thursday, July 14, 2016

The Oxford Olympics Study 2016: Cost and Cost Overrun at the Games

Hat tip to boingboing.

--Steve Fly

Abstract: 
     

Given that Olympic Games held over the past decade each have cost USD 8.9 billion on average, the size and financial risks of the Games warrant study. The objectives of the Oxford Olympics study are to (1) establish the actual out turn costs of previous Olympic Games in a manner where cost can consistently be compared across Games; (2) establish cost overruns for previous Games, i.e., the degree to which final out turn costs reflect projected budgets at the bid stage, again in a way that allows comparison across Games; (3) test whether the Olympic Games Knowledge Management Program has reduced cost risk for the Games, and, finally, (4) benchmark cost and cost overrun for the Rio 2016 Olympics against previous Games. The main contribution of the Oxford study is to establish a phenomenology of cost and cost overrun at the Olympics, which allows consistent and systematic comparison across Games. This has not been done before.

Main findings of the study are, first, that average actual out turn cost for Summer Games is USD 5.2 billion (2015 level), and USD 3.1 billion for Winter Games. The most costly Summer Games to date are London 2012 at USD 15 billion; the most costly Winter Games Sochi 2014 at USD 21.9 billion. The numbers cover the period 1960-2016 and include only sports-related costs, i.e., wider capital costs for general infrastructure, which are often larger than sports-related costs, have been excluded.

Second, at 156 percent in real terms, the Olympics have the highest average cost overrun of any type of mega-project. Moreover, cost overrun is found in all Games, without exception; for no other type of mega-project is this the case. 47 percent of Games have cost overruns above 100 percent. The largest cost overrun for Summer Games was found for Montreal 1976 at 720 percent, followed by Barcelona 1992 at 266 percent. For Winter Games the largest cost overrun was 324 percent for Lake Placid 1980, followed by Sochi 2014 at 289 percent.

Third, the Olympic Games Knowledge Management Program appears to be successful in reducing cost risk for the Games. The difference in cost overrun before (166 percent) and after (51 percent) the program began is statistically significant.

Fourth, and finally, the Rio 2016 Games, at a cost of USD 4.6 billion, appear to be on track to reverse the high expenditures of London 2012 and Sochi 2014 and deliver a Summer Games at the median cost for such Games. The cost overrun for Rio – at 51 percent in real terms, or USD 1.6 billion – is the same as the median cost overrun for other Games since 1999.

Given the above results, for a city and nation to decide to stage the Olympic Games is to decide to take on one of the most costly and financially most risky type of mega-project that exists, something that many cities and nations have learned to their peril.

http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2804554